Thursday, October 27, 2011

What to Expect

Lessons from Michigan State Game
Before the Michigan State game, it was not clear if there were any weaknesses on the Wisconsin team. As I stated in the scouting report, the BCS computers may have it right this time, as they were not impressed with the wins by Wisconsin, including the win over Nebraska. The wins were blowouts and perhaps the lack of defense in the opponents prevented us from seeing the weaknesses of Wisconsin. Although it was only one game it did provide footage to indicate Wisconsin can struggle on third downs and punt coverage. Wisconsin was 4 of 9 on third downs and Michigan State had a 36-yard return on one punt and blocked the other Wisconsin punt. Also evident was that Russel Wilson can throw interceptions, with two against Michigan State but only one before the game.

What to Expect
OSU has had success with the running game and they should not stop running the ball. Michigan State was limited to 109 rushing yards, so running will not be easy against Wisconsin. OSU should have 200 yards on the ground and 150 yards in the air. Michigan State was able to throw for 290 yards and three passing touchdowns against Wisconsin. Braxton Miller and the young receivers worked on the passing game during the bye week, in particular the short passes. The passing game will look better, but don't expect a 180 degree change. OSU will be conservative due to inexperience at QB and the receivers, but will make the necessary passes including a couple big play passes. The Ohio State offense cannot afford to have any turnovers since this game will be close, and the Buckeye defense needs to come up with an interception and a recovered fumble. The defense will limit Wisconsin to 200 rushing yards and 170 passing yards. Wisconsin will move the ball, but Ohio State will limit the scoring opportunities. OSU needs to force multiple three-and-outs and take advantage of Wisconsin's punting troubles. OSU will win this critical Big Ten game with a score of 27-20.

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