Friday, December 30, 2011

What to Expect

How Teams Compare
There are some similarities between the two teams. Both teams have new coaches in their first year as a head coach. Both teams are 6-6, yet a Jan. 2 bowl game chose them because they have a dedicated fan base. Both teams have hired Urban Meyer, and he won't be coaching either team for this game. Statistically both teams average about 25 points/game and Ohio State averages 319 offense yards (195 rushing and 124 passing), while Florida averages 334 yards (144 rushing and 190 passing). Ohio State limits teams to 328 yards (142 rushing and 186 passing), while Florida limits teams to 299 yards (132 rushing and 167 passing).

What to Expect
It is safe to assume Florida will have a similar pro-style offense as implemented by Charlie Weis, despite the fact that he and his cane have left the team to coach at Kansas. The switch from the spread offense has not been a smooth transition. When Florida has won, it has won with the run. In the six wins it has averaged 226 rushing yards/game, while it was limited to 61 rushing yards in the six losses. Also in the six wins, the team is +1 in the turnover margin, while the team is -12 in the turnover margin in the six loses. Florida does not play well against a defense set to stop the run (look to the LSU and Alabama game), so Ohio State should be able to disrupt Florida's offensive plan. Look for Ohio State to get 225 rushing yards and 150 passing yards. Florida will be limited to 80 rushing yards and 130 passing yards. Look for Posey and Herron to both have big days, and Miller will shine. Ohio State will win 28-13.

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