Thursday, October 25, 2012

What to Expect

Don't expect Penn State to kick a field goal on fourth down, since the kicker is 4 of 11, and as a result Penn State will go for it on fourth down when in field goal range. The Nittany Lions have had success on fourth down conversions, converting 14 of 23. Penn State leads the Big Ten in turnover margin, gaining 15 and losing seven in seven games. Looking at the record Penn State lost to an Ohio team which is still undefeated and now ranked, and the loss to Virginia came down to a late missed field goal (although it wasn't the first missed kick of the day). Penn State has had success with its new pro-style offense in the Big Ten, but you have to remember Penn State is just now getting to the difficult part of its conference schedule with games against Ohio State, Nebraska, and Wisconsin. So far the loss of players due to transfer doesn't appear to be a major factor, but this Ohio State game will give an indication as to current state of football at PSU. Penn State doesn't have a strong running game, and QB McGloin won't run often. OSU will limit Penn State to 100 rushing yards. The passing game will move the ball against Ohio State with 275 passing yards.

I expect Ohio State to be able to pass against a relatively young secondary. Look for OSU to have 250 passing yards. Penn State has not allowed a rushing touchdown in four games, including last week against Iowa, but that won't be the case this week. The OSU running game will be slowed down by the PSU linebackers, but it still should get at least 220 yards on the ground. Ohio State will win 38-35.

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