Thursday, November 13, 2014

What to Expect

I don't expect Ohio State to be caught off guard by Minnesota, based on its high score victory over Iowa last week and Minnesota's recent jump into the CFP rankings. Minnesota had a great game last weekend at Iowa, throwing for four touchdowns on only 138 passing yards while running for almost 300 yards and three rushing touchdowns. It was easily the most potent offensive display by Minnesota this season and it appears the team has recovered from the disappointing loss to Illinois. Prior to the Illinois loss, Minnesota only had lost to TCU, one of the teams in the top ten fighting for a spot in the playoffs.

Minnesota moves the ball most effectively with the running game averaging 47 carries/game, but it completes only an average of 9 passes/game. The Gophers only had 99 rushing yards against TCU and it had a season high 380 against San Jose State. Minnesota has only eclipsed 200 passing yards in one game, the loss to Illinois. Look for the Gophers to have 175 rushing yards and 150 passing yards.

Minnesota has had success stopping the run, limiting four teams to less than 100 yards, but Purdue did have 298 rushing yards. Minnesota has struggled to stop the pass as four teams have had over 200 yards and Eastern Illinois had 310 passing yards. Ohio State will have 250 rushing yards and 275 passing yards. Ohio State will win 42-24.

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